web analytics

Tag: South Korea

Masks as insight into the public health administrator’s mind

Despite my criticisms, I have generally felt that our public health officials have done a reasonable job.   I’d give them something in the C+ to B range.  This grade does not include the colossal testing failure, which I suspect was thanks to bureaucrats who we may discover are not public health people at all.  But there is another major test that has been failed, and this one is squarely in the laps of our ‘expert’ health officials.

This failure concerns masks.

We have known for a very, very, very long time that masks have great potential to curb the spread … continue reading...

Flu vaccine to blame for Italy’s numbers? What about New York’s?

Italy is still withering away after almost 3 weeks of a complete shut down of their entire country.  As of this writing, they have 11,591 deaths and a deaths/million people of 192.  Now, I know what you’re thinking.  How is it that after three weeks of a total shut down of their entire country and massive social distancing restrictions, they still have thousands of new cases a day (4,050 today) and almost a thousand deaths a day (812 today)?

Right?  Because total shut downs and massive social distancing restrictions is supposed to save us.  Those are the key to our … continue reading...

No, you AREN’T the only person who cares about people

Before all this started… say, about the second week of Feb… people were asking me if I was worried about the coronavirus.  Based on the data at the time, my answer was, “I worry more about the response than I do the virus.”  It really wasn’t that hard to predict what was going to transpire.  Just need to be moderately observant.

However, this seems like a good time to repeat something else I’ve said numerous times over the years:  it isn’t the bad people that ‘worry’ me; bad people act in defiance of their own consciences which alert them to … continue reading...

What We Need Are More Sick People… The Smart Way to Handle the Pandemic

Contrary to what some people may think, I have not objected to the quarantine and stay at home orders in principle.  I don’t object to the ‘flattening the curve’ argument.  However, details matter, and so do limits.  Facts matter.  Truth matters.  Reality matters.   So, with the ‘flattening the curve’ argument, you don’t just get to make it as if it gives you carte blanche to do anything you want for however long you want to do it.  What you actually have to do is show, how IN FACT, a health provider network risks being overwhelmed.  This means producing numbers, figures, … continue reading...

Will we all DIE like Italy, or be OK like South Korea?

About a week ago, I drilled into the incessant, breathless panic-mongering that led to our entire nation’s response being pegged to the ‘possibility’ that we would end up like Italy–all the while ignoring the fact that there were other possibilities, too.  Why might we not end up like Germany?  Or South Korea?

Don’t people know that we had our first confirmed case of coronavirus before Italy?  Instead of asserting that “WE WILL BE LIKE ITALY! AAAAAAAAAAAAH!” why not ask “Why is Italy so different than the US?”  Clearly, its not the evidence which is forcing us to choose Italy as … continue reading...