A Novel Influenza virus emerged in the spring of 2009 and spread quickly across the United States and the world. This virus contained a unique combination of influenza genes not previously identified in animals or people. This virus was designated as influenza A (H1N1)pdm09 virus. Ten years later work continues to better understand influenza, prevent disease, and prepare for the next pandemic.
Regarding COVID-19, compared to H1N1, it shrinks in comparison with coronavirus as it is only having a mortality rate of about 0.02%. COVID-19 is much higher so far, around 1.5% to 2% (although the number will likely change as more people are tested).
Also, it is worth noting that he 2009 flu pandemic primarily affected children and young adults, and 80% of the deaths were in people younger than 65, the CDC reported. That was unusual, considering that most strains of flu viruses, including those that cause seasonal flu, cause the highest percentage of deaths in people ages 65 and older. But in the case of the swine flu, older people seemed to have already built up enough immunity to the group of viruses that H1N1 belongs to, so weren't affected as much.
If you read my posts on the topic of the coronavirus so far… and I mean all of them, not just cherry picking them… I think you will find that I have attempted consistently to apportion my viewpoint to the actual facts on the ground and have, in the main, pretty well correctly described what was happening and what would happen. However, my relative ‘optimism’ is not accounted for merely by reference to the fact pattern associated with COVID-19. There are reasons besides, as well, which I’d like to share with you in this post.
In the first place, there … continue reading...
About a week ago, I drilled into the incessant, breathless panic-mongering that led to our entire nation’s response being pegged to the ‘possibility’ that we would end up like Italy–all the while ignoring the fact that there were other possibilities, too. Why might we not end up like Germany? Or South Korea?
Don’t people know that we had our first confirmed case of coronavirus before Italy? Instead of asserting that “WE WILL BE LIKE ITALY! AAAAAAAAAAAAH!” why not ask “Why is Italy so different than the US?” Clearly, its not the evidence which is forcing us to choose Italy as … continue reading...
There appear to be three camps when it comes to the coronavirus. Camp 1 is alert and attentive to what is transpiring, but skeptical about statements and forecasts regarding it; Camp 2 is alert and verging on panic, ready to believe all statements and quick to equate predictions as historical facts; Camp 3 is alert and attentive to any opportunity to pin the whole thing on Trump, and seizes each and everyone of those opportunities.
As to Camp 3, recent history has exposed them as mentally and morally compromised, and we have nothing to say to them. There will be … continue reading...