Or 'case fatality rate', is the proportion of deaths within a defined population of interest. Case fatality rate measures the severity of the disease that causes death. For example, among a total of 200 patients with disease A, 20 of them died from the same disease within 30 days; the 30-day case fatality rate = 20/200 ? 100 = 10%. It is similar to that of mortality rate, incidence rate.
A recent study of COVID-19 cases in the United States estimated a mortality rate of 10% to 27% for those ages 85 and over, 3% to 11% for those ages 65 to 84, 1% to 3% for those ages 55 to 64 and less than 1% for those ages 20 to 54.
These numbers shouldn't be taken as the inevitable toll of the virus, however.
Despite my criticisms, I have generally felt that our public health officials have done a reasonable job. I’d give them something in the C+ to B range. This grade does not include the colossal testing failure, which I suspect was thanks to bureaucrats who we may discover are not public health people at all. But there is another major test that has been failed, and this one is squarely in the laps of our ‘expert’ health officials.
This failure concerns masks.
We have known for a very, very, very long time that masks have great potential to curb the spread … continue reading...
About a week ago, I drilled into the incessant, breathless panic-mongering that led to our entire nation’s response being pegged to the ‘possibility’ that we would end up like Italy–all the while ignoring the fact that there were other possibilities, too. Why might we not end up like Germany? Or South Korea?
Don’t people know that we had our first confirmed case of coronavirus before Italy? Instead of asserting that “WE WILL BE LIKE ITALY! AAAAAAAAAAAAH!” why not ask “Why is Italy so different than the US?” Clearly, its not the evidence which is forcing us to choose Italy as … continue reading...
There appear to be three camps when it comes to the coronavirus. Camp 1 is alert and attentive to what is transpiring, but skeptical about statements and forecasts regarding it; Camp 2 is alert and verging on panic, ready to believe all statements and quick to equate predictions as historical facts; Camp 3 is alert and attentive to any opportunity to pin the whole thing on Trump, and seizes each and everyone of those opportunities.
As to Camp 3, recent history has exposed them as mentally and morally compromised, and we have nothing to say to them. There will be … continue reading...